Epidemics 2021 Feb 19;35:100445. Epub 2021 Feb 19.
Centre for Interdisciplinary Research in Biology (CIRB), Collège de France, CNRS, INSERM, PSL Research University, Paris, France; Infection Antimicrobials Modelling Evolution, UMR 1137, INSERM, Université de Paris, Paris, France. Electronic address:
To better control the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, it is essential to quantify the impact of control measures and the fraction of infected individuals that are detected. To this end we developed a deterministic transmission model based on the renewal equation and fitted the model to daily case and death data in the first few months of 2020 in 79 countries and states, representing 4.2 billions individuals. Read More