BMJ Open 2020 12 13;10(12):e038480. Epub 2020 Dec 13.
Biosecurity Program, The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Objectives: To estimate the impact of a smallpox attack in Mumbai, India, examine the impact of case isolation and ring vaccination for epidemic containment and test the health system capacity under different scenarios with available interventions.
Setting: The research is based on Mumbai, India population.
Interventions: We tested 50%, 70%, 90% of case isolation and contacts traced and vaccinated (ring vaccination) in the susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered model and varied the start of intervention between 20, 30 and 40 days after the initial attack. Read More