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Can the confidence in long range atmospheric transport models be increased? The pan-european experience of ensemble.
S Galmarini, R Bianconi, T Mikkelsen, R Addis, S Andronopoulos, P Astrup, A Baklanov, J Bartniki, J C Bartzis, R Bellasio, F Bompay, R Buckley, M Bouzom, H Champion, R D'Amours, E Davakis, H Eleveld, G T Geertsema, H Glaab, M Kollax, M Ilvonen, A Manning, U Pechinger, C Persson, E Polreich, S Potemski, M Prodanova, J Saltbones, H Slaper, M A Sofiev, D Syrakov, J H Sørensen, L Van der Auwera, I Valkama, R Zelazny
Radiat Prot Dosimetry 2004 ;109(1-2):19-24
IES/REM, Joint Research Center, TP 321 21020 Ispra, Italy.
Is atmospheric dispersion forecasting an important asset of the early-phase nuclear emergency response management? Is there a 'perfect atmospheric dispersion model'? Is there a way to make the results of dispersion models more reliable and trustworthy? While seeking to answer these questions the multi-model ensemble dispersion forecast system ENSEMBLE will be presented.
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