Can the confidence in long range atmospheric transport models be increased? The pan-european experience of ensemble.

Radiat Prot Dosimetry 2004 ;109(1-2):19-24

IES/REM, Joint Research Center, TP 321 21020 Ispra, Italy.

Is atmospheric dispersion forecasting an important asset of the early-phase nuclear emergency response management? Is there a 'perfect atmospheric dispersion model'? Is there a way to make the results of dispersion models more reliable and trustworthy? While seeking to answer these questions the multi-model ensemble dispersion forecast system ENSEMBLE will be presented.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/rpd/nch261DOI Listing

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January 2005
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