Biol Blood Marrow Transplant 2020 05 18;26(5):998-1004. Epub 2020 Jan 18.
Division of Hematology, Department of Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
A multicenter retrospective study was performed to evaluate the prognostic factors in 104 patients with relapsed or refractory acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), who underwent allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) between 2005 and 2015. The median age was 38 (range, 17 to 68), and the median blast fraction in peripheral blood and bone marrow was 1% (range, 0 to 99%) and 52% (range, 0 to 100%), respectively. With a median follow-up of 47 months (range, 8.3 to 105 months), overall survival (OS), nonrelapse mortality, and relapse mortality at 1 year were 25%, 44%, and 31%, respectively. Multivariate analysis demonstrated independent predictors for poor OS, including nuclear cell count in the bone marrow ≥10 × 10/μL (hazard ratio [HR], 2.14; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.33 to 3.43; P = .002), elevated lactate dehydrogenase level (HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.05 to 2.62; P = .031), and no primary induction failure (HR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.11 to 3.78; P = .022). A prognostic scoring index was designed based on these survival predictors. At 2 years, OS was 28%, 14%, and 0% for good (score 0 or 1; n = 47), intermediate (score 2; n = 40), and poor (score 3; n = 17), respectively (P < .001). This scoring system may be useful in identifying the patient population for which allogeneic HCT is least beneficial in advanced stages of ALL.