Publications by authors named "Richard Riley"

100Publications

Clinical prediction models to predict the risk of multiple binary outcomes: a comparison of approaches.

Stat Med 2020 Oct 26. Epub 2020 Oct 26.

Centre for Prognosis Research, School of Primary, Community and Social Care, Keele University, Staffordshire, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.8787DOI Listing
October 2020

Flaws in the development and validation of a covid-19 prediction model.

Clin Infect Dis 2020 Sep 16. Epub 2020 Sep 16.

Julius Center for Health Science and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa1406DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7543337PMC
September 2020

Testing small study effects in multivariate meta-analysis.

Biometrics 2020 Jul 28. Epub 2020 Jul 28.

Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology & Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/biom.13342DOI Listing
July 2020

COVID-19 prediction models should adhere to methodological and reporting standards.

Eur Respir J 2020 09 10;56(3). Epub 2020 Sep 10.

Centre for Prognosis Research, School of Primary, Community and Social Care, Keele University, Keele, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1183/13993003.02643-2020DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7377211PMC
September 2020

The statistical importance of a study for a network meta-analysis estimate.

BMC Med Res Methodol 2020 Jul 14;20(1):190. Epub 2020 Jul 14.

Institute of Medical Biometry and Statistics, Faculty of Medicine and Medical Center - University of Freiburg, Stefan-Meier-Strasse 26, Freiburg, 79104, Germany.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12874-020-01075-yDOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7386174PMC
July 2020

Meta-analysis of continuous outcomes: Using pseudo IPD created from aggregate data to adjust for baseline imbalance and assess treatment-by-baseline modification.

Res Synth Methods 2020 Jul 8. Epub 2020 Jul 8.

Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1434DOI Listing
July 2020

Doug Altman: Driving critical appraisal and improvements in the quality of methodological and medical research.

Biom J 2020 Jul 8. Epub 2020 Jul 8.

Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology & Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/bimj.202000053DOI Listing
July 2020

The Value of Preseason Screening for Injury Prediction: The Development and Internal Validation of a Multivariable Prognostic Model to Predict Indirect Muscle Injury Risk in Elite Football (Soccer) Players.

Sports Med Open 2020 May 27;6(1):22. Epub 2020 May 27.

Centre for Epidemiology Versus Arthritis, Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40798-020-00249-8DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7253524PMC
May 2020

One-stage individual participant data meta-analysis models for continuous and binary outcomes: Comparison of treatment coding options and estimation methods.

Stat Med 2020 Aug 11;39(19):2536-2555. Epub 2020 May 11.

Centre for Prognosis Research, School of Primary, Community and Social Care, Keele University, Keele, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.8555DOI Listing
August 2020

Temporal recalibration for improving prognostic model development and risk predictions in settings where survival is improving over time.

Int J Epidemiol 2020 Apr 3. Epub 2020 Apr 3.

Biostatistics Research Group, Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyaa030DOI Listing
April 2020

Calculating the sample size required for developing a clinical prediction model.

BMJ 2020 03 18;368:m441. Epub 2020 Mar 18.

Julius Center for Health Sciences, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m441DOI Listing
March 2020

Videolaryngoscopy to aid transoesophageal echocardiography probe insertion.

Anaesth Intensive Care 2020 Mar 26;48(2):157-158. Epub 2020 Feb 26.

Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Medicine, Royal Perth Hospital, Perth, Australia.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0310057X20905608DOI Listing
March 2020

Predicting and preventing relapse of depression in primary care.

Br J Gen Pract 2020 02 30;70(691):54-55. Epub 2020 Jan 30.

School of Primary, Community and Social Care, Keele University, Keele.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.3399/bjgp20X707753DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7018432PMC
February 2020

Methods and reporting of systematic reviews of comparative accuracy were deficient: a methodological survey and proposed guidance.

J Clin Epidemiol 2020 May 14;121:1-14. Epub 2019 Dec 14.

Test Evaluation Research Group, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK; NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust and University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2019.12.007DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7203546PMC
May 2020

Correction to: Minimum sample size for developing a multivariable prediction model: Part II-binary and time-to-event outcomes by Riley RD, Snell KI, Ensor J, et al.

Authors:
Richard D Riley

Stat Med 2019 Dec 29;38(30):5672. Epub 2019 Oct 29.

Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.8409DOI Listing
December 2019

Individual recovery expectations and prognosis of outcomes in non-specific low back pain: prognostic factor review.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2019 11 25;2019(11). Epub 2019 Nov 25.

Dalhousie University, Community Health & Epidemiology, 5760 University Avenue, Halifax, Canada, B3H 1V7.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD011284.pub2DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6877336PMC
November 2019

Individual participant data meta-analysis of intervention studies with time-to-event outcomes: A review of the methodology and an applied example.

Res Synth Methods 2020 Mar 6;11(2):148-168. Epub 2020 Feb 6.

Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1384DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7079159PMC
March 2020

Individual participant data validation of the PICNICC prediction model for febrile neutropenia.

Arch Dis Child 2020 05 5;105(5):439-445. Epub 2019 Nov 5.

Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/archdischild-2019-317308DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7212933PMC
May 2020

Evidence synthesis in prognosis research.

Diagn Progn Res 2019 11;3:13. Epub 2019 Jul 11.

3Research Institute for Primary Care & Health Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41512-019-0059-4DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6621956PMC
July 2019

First-trimester ultrasound measurements and maternal serum biomarkers as prognostic factors in monochorionic twins: a cohort study.

Diagn Progn Res 2019 9;3. Epub 2019 May 9.

1Centre for Women's and Newborn Health, Institute of Metabolism and Systems Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2TT UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41512-019-0054-9DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6507122PMC
May 2019

Empirical comparison of univariate and multivariate meta-analyses in Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth reviews with multiple binary outcomes.

Res Synth Methods 2019 Sep 12;10(3):440-451. Epub 2019 Aug 12.

Centre for Prognosis Research, Research Institute for Primary Care & Health Sciences, Keele University, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1353DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6771837PMC
September 2019

Guide to presenting clinical prediction models for use in clinical settings.

BMJ 2019 04 17;365:l737. Epub 2019 Apr 17.

Centre for Prognosis Research, Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.l737DOI Listing
April 2019

A guide to systematic review and meta-analysis of prognostic factor studies.

BMJ 2019 Jan 30;364:k4597. Epub 2019 Jan 30.

Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.

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http://www.bmj.com/lookup/doi/10.1136/bmj.k4597
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.k4597DOI Listing
January 2019

PROBAST: A Tool to Assess Risk of Bias and Applicability of Prediction Model Studies: Explanation and Elaboration.

Ann Intern Med 2019 01;170(1):W1-W33

Institute of Applied Health Research, National Institute for Health Research Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, College of Medical and Dental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (S.M.).

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http://dx.doi.org/10.7326/M18-1377DOI Listing
January 2019

PROBAST: A Tool to Assess the Risk of Bias and Applicability of Prediction Model Studies.

Ann Intern Med 2019 01;170(1):51-58

Institute of Applied Health Research, National Institute for Health Research Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, College of Medical and Dental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (S.M.).

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http://dx.doi.org/10.7326/M18-1376DOI Listing
January 2019

Social Network Analysis of a Simulation Community.

Simul Healthc 2019 Apr;14(2):71-76

From the University of Western Australia (R.H.R); Department of Health (R.H.R., A.C.C., S.N., B.L.S.), Government of Western Australia, East Perth, WA; and Optimice Pty Ltd (C.K.), Sydney, NSW, Australia.

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http://Insights.ovid.com/crossref?an=01266021-900000000-9956
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/SIH.0000000000000344DOI Listing
April 2019

Minimum sample size for developing a multivariable prediction model: PART II - binary and time-to-event outcomes.

Stat Med 2019 03 24;38(7):1276-1296. Epub 2018 Oct 24.

Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

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http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/sim.7992
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.7992DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6519266PMC
March 2019

Minimum sample size for developing a multivariable prediction model: Part I - Continuous outcomes.

Stat Med 2019 03 22;38(7):1262-1275. Epub 2018 Oct 22.

Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

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http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/sim.7993
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.7993DOI Listing
March 2019

The role of secondary outcomes in multivariate meta-analysis.

J R Stat Soc Ser C Appl Stat 2018 Nov 23;67(5):1177-1205. Epub 2018 Mar 23.

University of Keele, UK.

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http://doi.wiley.com/10.1111/rssc.12274
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12274DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6193545PMC
November 2018

Implementing systematic reviews of prognosis studies in Cochrane.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2018 10;10:ED000129

Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care and Cochrane Netherlands, UMC Utrecht, Utrecht University, The Netherlands.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/14651858.ED000129DOI Listing
October 2018

Protease activity as a prognostic factor for wound healing in venous leg ulcers.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2018 09 1;9:CD012841. Epub 2018 Sep 1.

Division of Nursing, Midwifery and Social Work, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Jean McFarlane Building, Oxford Road, Manchester, UK, M13 9PL.

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http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/14651858.CD012841.pub2
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD012841.pub2DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6513613PMC
September 2018

Individual participant data meta-analysis of continuous outcomes: A comparison of approaches for specifying and estimating one-stage models.

Stat Med 2018 12 13;37(29):4404-4420. Epub 2018 Aug 13.

Centre for Prognosis Research, Research Institute for Primary Care & Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, UK.

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http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/sim.7930
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.7930DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6283045PMC
December 2018

Temporal Changes in Co-Morbidity Burden in Patients Having Percutaneous Coronary Intervention and Impact on Prognosis.

Am J Cardiol 2018 09 19;122(5):712-722. Epub 2018 Jun 19.

Keele Cardiovascular Research Group, Centre for Prognosis Research, Institute of Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, United Kingdom. Electronic address:

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.amjcard.2018.05.003DOI Listing
September 2018

A framework for meta-analysis of prediction model studies with binary and time-to-event outcomes.

Stat Methods Med Res 2019 09 23;28(9):2768-2786. Epub 2018 Jul 23.

1 Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0962280218785504DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6728752PMC
September 2019

Measurement error and timing of predictor values for multivariable risk prediction models are poorly reported.

J Clin Epidemiol 2018 10 18;102:38-49. Epub 2018 May 18.

Centre for Prognosis Research, Arthritis Research UK Primary Care Centre, Research Institute for Primary Care & Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2018.05.008DOI Listing
October 2018

Simulation-based power calculations for planning a two-stage individual participant data meta-analysis.

BMC Med Res Methodol 2018 05 18;18(1):41. Epub 2018 May 18.

Centre for Prognosis Research, Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12874-018-0492-zDOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5960205PMC
May 2018

Periodic Health Examination and Injury Prediction in Professional Football (Soccer): Theoretically, the Prognosis is Good.

Sports Med 2018 Nov;48(11):2443-2448

Manchester United Football Club, AON Training Complex, Birch Road, Off Isherwood Road, Carrington, Manchester, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40279-018-0928-yDOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6182495PMC
November 2018

Inflammatory immune cells may impair the preBCR checkpoint, reduce new B cell production, and alter the antibody repertoire in old age.

Exp Gerontol 2018 05 7;105:87-93. Epub 2018 Feb 7.

Department of Microbiology & Immunology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33324, United States.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.exger.2018.01.023DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5869160PMC
May 2018

Guidance for deriving and presenting percentage study weights in meta-analysis of test accuracy studies.

Res Synth Methods 2018 Jun 8;9(2):163-178. Epub 2018 Jan 8.

Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK.

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http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/jrsm.1283
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1283DOI Listing
June 2018

Detecting small-study effects and funnel plot asymmetry in meta-analysis of survival data: A comparison of new and existing tests.

Res Synth Methods 2018 Mar 28;9(1):41-50. Epub 2017 Nov 28.

Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Newcastle, ST5 5BG, Staffordshire, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1266DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5873397PMC
March 2018

A random effects meta-analysis model with Box-Cox transformation.

BMC Med Res Methodol 2017 Jul 19;17(1):109. Epub 2017 Jul 19.

Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12874-017-0376-7DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5517826PMC
July 2017

Predicting risk of undiagnosed COPD: development and validation of the TargetCOPD score.

Eur Respir J 2017 06 22;49(6). Epub 2017 Jun 22.

Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1183/13993003.02191-2016DOI Listing
June 2017

Measuring the statistical validity of summary meta-analysis and meta-regression results for use in clinical practice.

Stat Med 2017 Sep 15;36(21):3283-3301. Epub 2017 Jun 15.

Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, U.K.

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http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/sim.7372
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.7372DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5575530PMC
September 2017

Age-associated B cells (ABC) inhibit B lymphopoiesis and alter antibody repertoires in old age.

Cell Immunol 2017 Nov 26;321:61-67. Epub 2017 Apr 26.

Department of Microbiology & Immunology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136, USA.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cellimm.2017.04.008DOI Listing
November 2017

Association of maternal serum PAPP-A levels, nuchal translucency and crown-rump length in first trimester with adverse pregnancy outcomes: retrospective cohort study.

Prenat Diagn 2017 Jul 16;37(7):705-711. Epub 2017 Jun 16.

Institute of Metabolism and Systems Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pd.5069DOI Listing
July 2017

Meta-analysis of prediction model performance across multiple studies: Which scale helps ensure between-study normality for the C-statistic and calibration measures?

Stat Methods Med Res 2018 11 8;27(11):3505-3522. Epub 2017 May 8.

1 Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0962280217705678DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6193210PMC
November 2018

Development of a Flipped Medical School Dermatology Module.

South Med J 2017 05;110(5):319-324

From the Department of Dermatology and Cutaneous Surgery, and University of Miami Leonard M. Miller School of Medicine, Miami, Florida.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.14423/SMJ.0000000000000649DOI Listing
May 2017

Erratum to: Methods for evaluating medical tests and biomarkers.

Authors:
Gowri Gopalakrishna Miranda Langendam Rob Scholten Patrick Bossuyt Mariska Leeflang Anna Noel-Storr James Thomas Iain Marshall Byron Wallace Penny Whiting Clare Davenport Mariska Leeflang Gowri GopalaKrishna Isabel de Salis Sue Mallett Robert Wolff Penny Whiting Richard Riley Marie Westwood Jos Kleinen Gary Collins Hans Reitsma Karel Moons Antonia Zapf Annika Hoyer Katharina Kramer Oliver Kuss J Ensor J J Deeks E C Martin R D Riley Gerta Rücker Susanne Steinhauser Martin Schumacher Richard Riley Joie Ensor Kym Snell Brian Willis Thomas Debray Karel Moons Jon Deeks Gary Collins Lavinia Ferrante di Ruffano Brian Willis Clare Davenport Sue Mallett Sian Taylor-Phillips Chris Hyde Jon Deeks Sue Mallett Stuart A Taylor Gauraang Batnagar Sian Taylor-Phillips Lavinia Ferrante Di Ruffano Farah Seedat Aileen Clarke Jon Deeks Sarah Byron Frances Nixon Rebecca Albrow Thomas Walker Carla Deakin Chris Hyde Zhivko Zhelev Harriet Hunt Lavinia Ferrante di Ruffano Yaling Yang Lucy Abel James Buchanan Thomas Fanshawe Bethany Shinkins Laure Wynants Jan Verbakel Sabine Van Huffel Dirk Timmerman Ben Van Calster Mariska Leeflang Aeliko Zwinderman Patrick Bossuyt Jason Oke Jack O'Sullivan Rafael Perera Brian Nicholson Hannah L Bromley Tracy E Roberts Adele Francis Denniis Petrie G Bruce Mann Kinga Malottki Holly Smith Jon Deeks Lucinda Billingham Alice Sitch Sue Mallett Jon Deeks Oke Gerke Mie Holm-Vilstrup Eivind Antonsen Segtnan Ulrich Halekoh Poul Flemming Høilund-Carlsen Bernard G Francq Jon Deeks Alice Sitch Jac Dinnes Julie Parkes Walter Gregory Jenny Hewison Doug Altman William Rosenberg Peter Selby Julien Asselineau Paul Perez Aïssatou Paye Emilie Bessede Cécile Proust-Lima Christiana Naaktgeboren Joris de Groot Anne Rutjes Patrick Bossuyt Johannes Reitsma Karel Moons Gary Collins Emmanuel Ogundimu Jonathan Cook Yannick Le Manach Doug Altman Laure Wynants Yvonne Vergouwe Sabine Van Huffel Dirk Timmerman Ben Van Calster Romin Pajouheshnia Rolf Groenwold Karen Moons Johannes Reitsma Linda Peelen Ben Van Calster Daan Nieboer Yvonne Vergouwe Bavo De Cock Micael J Pencina Ewout W Steyerberg Jennifer Cooper Sian Taylor-Phillips Nick Parsons Chris Stinton Steve Smith Andy Dickens Rachel Jordan Alexandra Enocson David Fitzmaurice Alice Sitch Peymane Adab Bernard G Francq Charles Boachie Gaj Vidmar Karoline Freeman Martin Connock Sian Taylor-Phillips Rachel Court Aileen Clarke Joris de Groot Christiana Naaktgeboren Hans Reitsma Carl Moons Jessica Harris Andrew Mumford Zoe Plummer Kurtis Lee Barnaby Reeves Chris Rogers Veerle Verheyden Gianni D Angelini Gavin J Murphy Jeremy Huddy Melody Ni Katherine Good Graham Cooke Patrick Bossuyt George Hanna Jie Ma Doug Altman Gary Collins K G M Carl Moons Joris A H de Groot Sue Mallett Doug G Altman Johannes B Reitsma Gary S Collins Karel G M Moons Douglas G Altman Johannes B Reitsma Gary S Collins Adina Najwa Kamarudin Ruwanthi Kolamunnage-Dona Trevor Cox Melody Ni Jeremy Huddy Simone Borsci George Hanna Teresa Pérez M Carmen Pardo Angel Candela-Toha Alfonso Muriel Javier Zamora Sabina Sanghera Syed Mohiuddin Richard Martin Jenny Donovan Joanna Coast Mikyung Kelly Seo John Cairns Elizabeth Mitchell Alison Smith Judy Wright Peter Hall Michael Messenger Nicola Calder Nyantara Wickramasekera Karen Vinall-Collier Andrew Lewington Romin Pajouheshnia Johanna Damen Rolf Groenwold Karel Moons Linda Peelen Michael Messenger David Cairns Alison Smith Michelle Hutchinson Judy Wright Peter Hall Nicola Calder Cathie Sturgeon Liz Mitchel Rebecca Kift Sofia Christakoudi Manohursingh Rungall Paula Mobillo Rosa Montero Tjir-Li Tsui Sui Phin Kon Beatriz Tucker Steven Sacks Chris Farmer Terry Strom Paramit Chowdhury Irene Rebollo-Mesa Maria Hernandez-Fuentes Johanna A A G Damen Thomas P A Debray Pauline Heus Lotty Hooft Karel G M Moons Romin Pajouheshnia Johannes B Reitsma Rob J P M Scholten Johanna A A G Damen Lotty Hooft Ewoud Schuit Thomas P A Debray Gary S Collins Ioanna Tzoulaki Camille M Lassale George C M Siontis Virginia Chiocchia Corran Roberts Michael Maia Schlüssel Stephen Gerry James A Black Pauline Heus Yvonne T van der Schouw Linda M Peelen Karel G M Moons Johanna A A G Damen Thomas P A Debray Pauline Heus Lotty Hooft Karel G M Moons Romin Pajouheshnia Johannes B Reitsma Rob J P M Scholten Jie Ma Doug Altman Gary Collins Graeme Spence David McCartney Ann van den Bruel Daniel Lasserson Gail Hayward Werner Vach Antoinette de Jong Coreline Burggraaff Otto Hoekstra Josée Zijlstra Henrica de Vet Harriet Hunt Chris Hyde Sara Graziadio Joy Allen Louise Johnston Rachel O'Leary Michael Power Joy Allen Sara Graziadio Louise Johnson Rachel O'Leary Michael Power Ray Waters John Simpson Louise Johnston Joy Allen Sara Graziadio Rachel O'Leary Ray Waters Michael Power Sue Mallett Thomas R Fanshawe Peter Phillips Andrew Plumb Emma Helbren Steve Halligan Stuart A Taylor Alastair Gale Sue Mallett Peggy Sekula Douglas G Altman Willi Sauerbrei Sue Mallett Thomas R Fanshawe Julia R Forman Susan J Dutton Yemisi Takwoingi Elizabeth M Hensor Thomas E Nichols Bethany Shinkins Yaling Yang Lucy Abel Lavinia Ferrante Di Ruffano Thomas Fanshawe Emmanuelle Kempf Raphael Porcher Jennifer de Beyer Karel Moons Douglas Altman Hans Reitsma Sally Hopewell Willi Sauerbrei Gary Collins John Dennis Beverley Shields Angus Jones William Henley Ewan Pearson Andrew Hattersley Pauline Heus Johanna A A G Damen Romin Pajouheshnia Rob J P M Scholten Johannes B Reitsma Gary S Collins Douglas G Altman Karel G M Moons Lotty Hooft Beverley Shields John Dennis Angus Jones William Henley Ewan Pearson Andrew Hattersley Fueloep Scheibler Anne Rummer Sibylle Sturtz Robert Großelfinger Katie Banister Craig Ramsay Augusto Azuara-Blanco Jonathan Cook Charles Boachie Jennifer Burr Manjula Kumarasamy Rupert Bourne Ijeoma Uchegbu Simone Borsci Jennifer Murphy George Hanna Ijeoma Uchegbu Alex Carter Jen Murphy Melody Ni Joachim Marti Julie Eatock Ijeoma Uchegbu Julie Robotham Maria Dudareva Mark Gilchrist Alison Holmes 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Kym Snell Sue Mallet Jon Deeks Sudha Sundar Emma Hall Nuria Porta David Lorente Estelles Johann de Bono

Diagn Progn Res 2017 30;1:11. Epub 2017 Mar 30.

278The Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41512-017-0011-4DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6460744PMC
March 2017

Is the first urinary albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR) in women with suspected preeclampsia a prognostic factor for maternal and neonatal adverse outcome? A retrospective cohort study.

Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand 2017 May 24;96(5):580-588. Epub 2017 Mar 24.

Tommy's Centre for Maternal and Fetal Health, MRC Centre for Reproductive Health, University of Edinburgh Queen's Medical Research Institute, Edinburgh, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/aogs.13123DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5413808PMC
May 2017

Prognosis research ideally should measure time-varying predictors at their intended moment of use.

Diagn Progn Res 2017 8;1. Epub 2017 Feb 8.

Arthritis Research UK Primary Care Centre, Research Institute for Primary Care & Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire ST5 5BG UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41512-016-0006-6DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6457137PMC
February 2017

A guide to systematic review and meta-analysis of prediction model performance.

BMJ 2017 Jan 5;356:i6460. Epub 2017 Jan 5.

Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Center Utrecht, PO Box 85500 Str 6.131, 3508 GA Utrecht, Netherlands.

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January 2017

In old BALB/c mice, bone marrow pre-B cell and surrogate light chain reduction is associated with increased B cell reactivity to phosphorylcholine, but reduced T15 idiotype dominance.

Mech Ageing Dev 2017 03 19;162:53-62. Epub 2016 Nov 19.

Department of Microbiology & Immunology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, 33136, United States. Electronic address:

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mad.2016.11.004DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5381390PMC
March 2017

Meta-analysis using individual participant data: one-stage and two-stage approaches, and why they may differ.

Stat Med 2017 02 16;36(5):855-875. Epub 2016 Oct 16.

Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire, U.K.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.7141DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5297998PMC
February 2017

Random effects meta-analysis: Coverage performance of 95% confidence and prediction intervals following REML estimation.

Stat Med 2017 01 7;36(2):301-317. Epub 2016 Oct 7.

Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, U.K.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.7140DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5157768PMC
January 2017

Individual participant data meta-analyses compared with meta-analyses based on aggregate data.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2016 Sep 6;9:MR000007. Epub 2016 Sep 6.

Department of Biostatistics, The University of Liverpool, Shelley's Cottage, Brownlow Street, Liverpool, UK, L69 3GS.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/14651858.MR000007.pub3DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7125394PMC
September 2016

Early Clinical Features in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: Can They Be Used to Achieve Earlier Diagnosis? A Risk Prediction Model.

Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) 2017 06 8;69(6):833-841. Epub 2017 May 8.

University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/acr.23021DOI Listing
June 2017

External validation of clinical prediction models using big datasets from e-health records or IPD meta-analysis: opportunities and challenges.

BMJ 2016 Jun 22;353:i3140. Epub 2016 Jun 22.

Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.i3140DOI Listing
June 2016

Systematic review of prognostic models for recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) post-treatment of first unprovoked VTE.

BMJ Open 2016 05 6;6(5):e011190. Epub 2016 May 6.

Primary Care Clinical Sciences, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2016-011190DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4861103PMC
May 2016

Explicit inclusion of treatment in prognostic modeling was recommended in observational and randomized settings.

J Clin Epidemiol 2016 10 1;78:90-100. Epub 2016 Apr 1.

Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, PO Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2016.03.017DOI Listing
October 2016

Bayesian bivariate meta-analysis of correlated effects: Impact of the prior distributions on the between-study correlation, borrowing of strength, and joint inferences.

Stat Methods Med Res 2018 02 17;27(2):428-450. Epub 2016 Mar 17.

1 Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0962280216631361DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5810917PMC
February 2018

Problems of variable biomarker evaluation in stratified medicine research--A case study of ERCC1 in non-small-cell lung cancer.

Lung Cancer 2016 Feb 26;92:1-7. Epub 2015 Nov 26.

Cancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit (CRCTU), MRC Midland Hub for Trials Methodology Research, Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, United Kingdom.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.lungcan.2015.11.017DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4729317PMC
February 2016

Borrowing of strength and study weights in multivariate and network meta-analysis.

Stat Methods Med Res 2017 Dec 6;26(6):2853-2868. Epub 2015 Nov 6.

4 Department of Primary Care & Health Sciences, University of Keele, Staffordshire, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0962280215611702DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4964944PMC
December 2017

Bayesian meta-analytical methods to incorporate multiple surrogate endpoints in drug development process.

Stat Med 2016 Mar 3;35(7):1063-89. Epub 2015 Nov 3.

Biostatistics Research Group, Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, University Road, Leicester, LE1 7RH, U.K.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.6776DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4950070PMC
March 2016

Individual participant data (IPD) meta-analyses of diagnostic and prognostic modeling studies: guidance on their use.

PLoS Med 2015 Oct 13;12(10):e1001886. Epub 2015 Oct 13.

Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands; The Dutch Cochrane Centre, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001886DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4603958PMC
October 2015

Meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy studies in mental health.

Evid Based Ment Health 2015 Nov 7;18(4):103-9. Epub 2015 Oct 7.

Public Health, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/eb-2015-102228DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4680179PMC
November 2015

Individual Participant Data (IPD) Meta-analyses of Randomised Controlled Trials: Guidance on Their Use.

PLoS Med 2015 Jul 21;12(7):e1001855. Epub 2015 Jul 21.

Radboud Institute for Health Sciences, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001855DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4510878PMC
July 2015

Multivariate meta-analysis of individual participant data helped externally validate the performance and implementation of a prediction model.

J Clin Epidemiol 2016 Jan 16;69:40-50. Epub 2015 May 16.

Research Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire ST5 5BG, UK. Electronic address:

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2015.05.009DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4688112PMC
January 2016