Clin J Am Soc Nephrol 2019 11 28;14(11):1562-1571. Epub 2019 Oct 28.
Center for Translational Metabolism and Health, Institute for Public Health and Medicine, and
Background And Objectives: Patients with CKD are at high risk for cardiovascular disease, ESKD, and mortality. Vascular calcification is one pathway through which cardiovascular disease risks are increased. We hypothesized that a novel measure of serum calcification propensity is associated with cardiovascular disease events, ESKD, and all-cause mortality among patients with CKD stages 2-4.
Design, Setting, Participants, & Measurements: Among 3404 participants from the prospective, longitudinal Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study, we quantified calcification propensity as the transformation time (T) from primary to secondary calciprotein particles, with lower T corresponding to higher calcification propensity. We used multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models to assess the associations of T with risks of adjudicated atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events (myocardial infarction, stroke, and peripheral artery disease), adjudicated heart failure, ESKD, and mortality.
Results: The mean T was 313 (SD 79) minutes. Over an average 7.1 (SD 3.1) years of follow-up, we observed 571 atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events, 633 heart failure events, 887 ESKD events, and 924 deaths. With adjustment for traditional cardiovascular disease risk factors, lower T was significantly associated with higher risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio [HR] per SD lower T, 1.14; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.05 to 1.25), ESKD within 3 years from baseline (HR per SD lower T, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.52 to 1.86), and all-cause mortality (HR per SD lower T, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.09 to 1.24), but not heart failure (HR per SD lower T, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.97 to 1.15). After adjustment for eGFR and 24-hour urinary protein, T was not associated with risks of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, ESKD, and mortality.
Conclusions: Among patients with CKD stages 2-4, higher serum calcification propensity is associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events, ESKD, and all-cause mortality, but this association was not independent of kidney function.
Podcast: This article contains a podcast at https://www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/CJASN/2019_10_28_CJN04710419.mp3.