David J D Earn

David J D Earn

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David J D Earn

Publications by authors named "David J D Earn"

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Patterns of seasonal and pandemic influenza-associated health care and mortality in Ontario, Canada.

BMC Public Health 2019 Sep 6;19(1):1237. Epub 2019 Sep 6.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON L8S 4K1, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-019-7369-xDOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6731609PMC
September 2019

Determinants of Influenza Mortality Trends: Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of Influenza Mortality in the United States, 1959-2016.

Demography 2019 Sep 9. Epub 2019 Sep 9.

Département de Démographie, Université de Montréal, C.P. 6128, succursale Centre-ville, Montréal, QC, H3C 3J7, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13524-019-00809-yDOI Listing
September 2019

Invariant predictions of epidemic patterns from radically different forms of seasonal forcing.

J R Soc Interface 2019 Jul 31;16(156):20190202. Epub 2019 Jul 31.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, 1280 Main Street West, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada L8S 4K1.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2019.0202DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6685027PMC
July 2019

Human ectoparasite transmission of the plague during the Second Pandemic is only weakly supported by proposed mathematical models.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2018 08 3;115(34):E7892-E7893. Epub 2018 Aug 3.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada L8S 4K1.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1809775115DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6112721PMC
August 2018

On selection in finite populations.

J Math Biol 2018 02 29;76(3):645-678. Epub 2017 Jun 29.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, 1280 Main Street West, Hamilton, ON, L8S 4K1, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-017-1151-4DOI Listing
February 2018

Predictors of influenza a molecular viral shedding in Hutterite communities.

Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2017 05 16;11(3):254-262. Epub 2017 Mar 16.

Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12448DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5410723PMC
May 2017

Evolutionary stability in continuous nonlinear public goods games.

J Math Biol 2017 01 14;74(1-2):499-529. Epub 2016 Jun 14.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, 1280 Main Street West, Hamilton, Ontario, L8S 4K1, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-016-1017-1DOI Listing
January 2017

Live Attenuated Versus Inactivated Influenza Vaccine in Hutterite Children: A Cluster Randomized Blinded Trial.

Ann Intern Med 2016 Nov 16;165(9):617-624. Epub 2016 Aug 16.

From McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario; University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta; Saskatchewan Disease Control Laboratory, Regina, Saskatchewan; Prince Albert Parkland Health Region, Prince Albert, Saskatchewan; Five Hills Health Region, Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan; and Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.7326/M16-0513DOI Listing
November 2016

Understanding apparently non-exponential outbreaks Comment on "Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review" by Gerardo Chowell et al.

Phys Life Rev 2016 09 26;18:105-108. Epub 2016 Aug 26.

Department of Mathematics & Statistics, McMaster University, 1280 Main Street West, Hamilton, Ontario, L8S 4K1, Canada. Electronic address:

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.plrev.2016.08.012DOI Listing
September 2016

The cohort effect in childhood disease dynamics.

J R Soc Interface 2016 07;13(120)

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada L8S 4K1.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2016.0156DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4971216PMC
July 2016

The importance of accurately modelling human interactions: Comment on "Coupled disease-behavior dynamics on complex networks: A review" by Z. Wang et al.

Phys Life Rev 2015 Dec 20;15:51-2. Epub 2015 Oct 20.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, L8S 4K1, Canada. Electronic address:

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.plrev.2015.10.005DOI Listing
December 2015

Game theory of pre-emptive vaccination before bioterrorism or accidental release of smallpox.

J R Soc Interface 2015 Jun;12(107)

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada L8S 4K1 M.G. deGroote Institute for Infectious Disease Research, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada L8S 4K1.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2014.1387DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4590493PMC
June 2015

A century of transitions in New York City's measles dynamics.

J R Soc Interface 2015 May;12(106)

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, 1280 Main Street West, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada L8S 4K1.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2015.0024DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4424677PMC
May 2015

Yersinia pestis and the plague of Justinian 541-543 AD: a genomic analysis.

Lancet Infect Dis 2014 Apr 28;14(4):319-26. Epub 2014 Jan 28.

McMaster Ancient DNA Centre, Department of Anthropology, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada; Department of Biology, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada; Michael G DeGroote Institute for Infectious Disease Research, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada. Electronic address:

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(13)70323-2DOI Listing
April 2014

Population-level effects of suppressing fever.

Proc Biol Sci 2014 Mar 22;281(1778):20132570. Epub 2014 Jan 22.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, , Hamilton, Ontario, Canada, M. G. DeGroote Institute for Infectious Disease Research, McMaster University, , Hamilton, Ontario, Canada, Department of Psychology, Neuroscience and Behaviour, McMaster University, , Hamilton, Ontario, Canada, Department of Biology, McMaster University, , Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.2570DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3906934PMC
March 2014

Estimating initial epidemic growth rates.

Bull Math Biol 2014 Jan 23;76(1):245-60. Epub 2013 Nov 23.

Mathematics and Statistics, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada,

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-013-9918-2DOI Listing
January 2014

Second-pandemic strain of Vibrio cholerae from the Philadelphia cholera outbreak of 1849.

N Engl J Med 2014 Jan 8;370(4):334-40. Epub 2014 Jan 8.

From the McMaster Ancient DNA Centre (A.M.D., J.M.E., M.K., S.F., K.I.B., H.N.P.), Departments of Anthropology (A.M.D., M.K., K.I.B., H.N.P.), Biology (J.M.E., G.B.G., H.N.P.), and Mathematics and Statistics (D.J.D.E.), and the Michael G. DeGroote Institute for Infectious Disease Research (N.W., D.J.D.E., H.N.P.), McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, and the Dalla Lana School of Public Health, Toronto (D.N.F.) - all in Canada; the Department of Mathematics, Ohio State University, Columbus (J.H.T.); Marie Bashir Institute for Infectious Diseases and Biosecurity Institute, School of Biological Sciences and Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney (M.S., E.C.H.); and the College of Physicians of Philadelphia, Mütter Museum, Philadelphia (A.N.D.).

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa1308663DOI Listing
January 2014

Characteristics of respiratory viral infections during influenza season in Canadian Hutterite Communities.

Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2013 Nov 19;7(6):1088-92. Epub 2012 Oct 19.

Department of Pathology and Molecular Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.Division of Infectious Diseases, Departments of Internal Medicine, Soon Chun Hyang University Seoul Hospital, Seoul, Korea.Department of Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.Provincial Laboratory for Public Health and Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Calgary, AB, Canada.Department of Medical Microbiology, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada.Department of Disease Control Laboratory, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.Cadham Provincial Laboratory, Winnipeg, MB, Canada.Cypress Health Region, Swift Current, SK, Canada.Saskatchewan Health, Five Hills, Moose Jaw, SK, Canada.University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada.St. Judes Children's Research Hospital, Memphis, TN, USA.Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.Michael G. DeGroote Institute for Infectious Disease Research, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Cananda.Departments of Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.

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http://doi.wiley.com/10.1111/irv.12021
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12021DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4634280PMC
November 2013

Patterns of spread of influenza A in Canada.

Proc Biol Sci 2013 Nov 11;280(1770):20131174. Epub 2013 Sep 11.

Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, , Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong (SAR), People's Republic of China, Department of Biology, McMaster University, , Hamilton, Ontario, Canada , L8S 4L8, M.G. DeGroote Institute for Infectious Disease Research, McMaster University, , Hamilton, Ontario, Canada , L8S 4L8, Division of Mathematics, University of Dundee, , Dundee DD1 4HN, UK, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, , Hamilton, Ontario, Canada , L8S 4K1.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.1174DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3779324PMC
November 2013

Inferring the causes of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England and Wales.

Proc Biol Sci 2013 Sep 7;280(1766):20131345. Epub 2013 Sep 7.

Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University Hung Hom, , Kowloon, Hong Kong (SAR), People's Republic of China.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.1345DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3730600PMC
September 2013

Effects of the infectious period distribution on predicted transitions in childhood disease dynamics.

J R Soc Interface 2013 Jul 15;10(84):20130098. Epub 2013 May 15.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2013.0098DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3673147PMC
July 2013

Multifractal signatures of infectious diseases.

J R Soc Interface 2012 Sep 22;9(74):2167-80. Epub 2012 Mar 22.

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2011.0886DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3405737PMC
September 2012

Effects of school closure on incidence of pandemic influenza in Alberta, Canada.

Ann Intern Med 2012 Feb;156(3):173-81

McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.7326/0003-4819-156-3-201202070-00005DOI Listing
February 2012

Multi-stability and multi-instability phenomena in a mathematical model of tumor-immune-virus interactions.

Bull Math Biol 2011 Dec 8;73(12):2932-61. Epub 2011 Apr 8.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, L8S 4K1, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-011-9653-5DOI Listing
December 2011

Age-specific mortality risk from pandemic influenza.

J Theor Biol 2011 Nov 16;288:29-34. Epub 2011 Aug 16.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.08.003DOI Listing
November 2011

A draft genome of Yersinia pestis from victims of the Black Death.

Nature 2011 Oct 12;478(7370):506-10. Epub 2011 Oct 12.

McMaster Ancient DNA Centre, Department of Anthropology, McMaster University, 1280 Main Street West, Hamilton, Ontario L8S 4L8, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature10549DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3690193PMC
October 2011

Parameterizing state-space models for infectious disease dynamics by generalized profiling: measles in Ontario.

J R Soc Interface 2011 Jul 17;8(60):961-74. Epub 2010 Nov 17.

Department of Biological Statistics and Computational Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14850, USA.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2010.0412DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3104327PMC
July 2011

Herald waves of cholera in nineteenth century London.

J R Soc Interface 2011 May 1;8(58):756-60. Epub 2010 Dec 1.

Department of Mathematics, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2010.0494DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3061096PMC
May 2011

Cholera epidemic in Haiti, 2010: using a transmission model to explain spatial spread of disease and identify optimal control interventions.

Ann Intern Med 2011 May 7;154(9):593-601. Epub 2011 Mar 7.

Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, 155 College Street, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

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http://annals.org/article.aspx?doi=10.7326/0003-4819-154-9-2
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http://dx.doi.org/10.7326/0003-4819-154-9-201105030-00334DOI Listing
May 2011

Attractivity of coherent manifolds in metapopulation models.

J Math Biol 2011 Apr 28;62(4):509-41. Epub 2010 Apr 28.

Department of Mathematics, Wilfrid Laurier University, 75 University Avenue West, Waterloo, ON N2L3C5, Canada.

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http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00285-010-03
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http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00285-010-0342-z
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-010-0342-zDOI Listing
April 2011

Interactions between the immune system and cancer: a brief review of non-spatial mathematical models.

Bull Math Biol 2011 Jan 12;73(1):2-32. Epub 2010 Mar 12.

Department of Mathematics and Statistic, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada, L8S 4K1.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-010-9526-3DOI Listing
January 2011

Multiple transmission pathways and disease dynamics in a waterborne pathogen model.

Bull Math Biol 2010 Aug 9;72(6):1506-33. Epub 2010 Feb 9.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-010-9507-6DOI Listing
August 2010

Modeling anti-tumor Th1 and Th2 immunity in the rejection of melanoma.

J Theor Biol 2010 Aug 5;265(3):467-80. Epub 2010 May 5.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada L8S 4K1.

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http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S002251931000229
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2010.04.030DOI Listing
August 2010

Population dynamics of live-attenuated virus vaccines.

Theor Popul Biol 2010 Mar 6;77(2):79-94. Epub 2009 Sep 6.

McMaster University, Department of Mathematics and Statistics and M.G. DeGroote Institute for Infectious Disease Research, 1280 Main Street West Hamilton, Ontario L8S 4K1, Canada.

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https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S00405809090009
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tpb.2009.08.003DOI Listing
March 2010

Reconstructing influenza incidence by deconvolution of daily mortality time series.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2009 Dec 18;106(51):21825-9. Epub 2009 Dec 18.

Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0902958106DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2796142PMC
December 2009

Circulating vaccine derived polio viruses and their impact on global polio eradication.

Bull Math Biol 2008 Jan 13;70(1):253-80. Epub 2007 Oct 13.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, 1280 Main Street West, Hamilton, ON L8S 4K1, Canada.

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http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11538-007-9255-4
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-007-9255-4DOI Listing
January 2008

Epidemiological effects of seasonal oscillations in birth rates.

Theor Popul Biol 2007 Sep 7;72(2):274-91. Epub 2007 May 7.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont., Canada L8S 4K1.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tpb.2007.04.004DOI Listing
September 2007

Vaccinating to protect a vulnerable subpopulation.

PLoS Med 2007 May;4(5):e174

Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0040174DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1872043PMC
May 2007

Generality of the final size formula for an epidemic of a newly invading infectious disease.

Bull Math Biol 2006 Apr 8;68(3):679-702. Epub 2006 Apr 8.

Department of Mathematics & Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada, L8S 4K1.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-005-9047-7DOI Listing
April 2006

Global asymptotic coherence in discrete dynamical systems.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2006 Mar 7;103(11):3968-71. Epub 2006 Mar 7.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada L8S 4K1.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0511000103DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1449629PMC
March 2006

Mortality due to influenza in the United States--an annualized regression approach using multiple-cause mortality data.

Am J Epidemiol 2006 Jan 30;163(2):181-7. Epub 2005 Nov 30.

Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA.

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http://academic.oup.com/aje/article/163/2/181/95820/Mortalit
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwj024DOI Listing
January 2006

Dynamical resonance can account for seasonality of influenza epidemics.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2004 Nov 19;101(48):16915-6. Epub 2004 Nov 19.

Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA.

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http://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.0407293101
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0407293101DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC534740PMC
November 2004

Vaccination and the theory of games.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2004 Sep 25;101(36):13391-4. Epub 2004 Aug 25.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada N1G 2W1.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0403823101DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC516577PMC
September 2004

Group interest versus self-interest in smallpox vaccination policy.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2003 Sep 14;100(18):10564-7. Epub 2003 Aug 14.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada L8S 4K1.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1731324100DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC193525PMC
September 2003

Transients and attractors in epidemics.

Proc Biol Sci 2003 Aug;270(1524):1573-8

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario L8S 4K1, Canada.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2003.2410DOI Listing
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1691412PMC
August 2003